At the start of the year 2025, I wrote some essays asking two questions: why do you believe what you believe, and what is your world view? During the course of the year

Why 2026 May Surpass 1914 and 1939 in Systemic Risk "Today, we heard yet another signal from Moscow that they are preparing to make next year a year of war. These signals

The following is a summary of my keynote given on 28th November 2025 at the Platinum Zambia 1000 Summit. My theme today is simple but uncomfortable: are we actually educated for the next

When Do Independent Convergences Become Undeniable? TL;DR – The Short Version of A Wild Claim Imagine you fused Asimov’s psychohistory, Newton’s obsession with future timelines, and a modern statistics engine, some

The Settlement Trust Solution Zambia has recently been experiencing over twenty hours of power cuts every day. Small businesses are stressed. Hospitals without emergency power can’t keep vaccines cold. Water pumps stand